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NVDA
NVIDIA Corp.US· Technology$180.00📅 Earnings in 26d
Signal
Buy
Est. 12-month return
+8.4%
Confidence
37%
Model ensemble · 6 algorithms voting
| Model | Style | Signal | Est. 12m | Conf. | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multi-Factor | Factor investing (AQR) | Hold | +2.9% | 60% | Composite factor score 60/100 vs market average of 50. |
| Analyst Consensus | Sell-side research | Buy | +13.3% | 50% | Consensus target implies 22% upside (haircut for optimism). |
| Time-Series Momentum | Trend funds (Man AHL) | Strong Buy | +21.0% | 56% | 12-month trend 60%, at 93% of 52w high. |
| Trend-Following (MA cross) | CTA / managed futures | Buy | +17.0% | 45% | Golden cross: price 40% vs 200-day average. |
| Mean Reversion (RSI/Bollinger) | Technical / contrarian | Avoid | -5.6% | 40% | RSI 80, 1.2σ from mean — overbought, pullback risk. |
| Low-Volatility | Risk-premia (min-vol) | Hold | -2.6% | 40% | Annualized volatility 43% — elevated risk. |
Six independent models each vote with an expected return and confidence; the headline figure is their confidence-weighted blend (how quant funds combine uncorrelated signals). It is a modelled estimate, not a promise — markets are partly unpredictable, so treat a strong signal as a reason to research, never as a certainty.
Insider activity (SEC Form 4)
Net Selling
0 insider buys · 5 sells · net -$8.0M (trailing 90d).
Options flow · Options flow is a paid feed and is not configured. Set OPTIONS_FLOW_VENDOR (polygon | unusualwhales | tradier | cboe) and OPTIONS_FLOW_API_KEY, then run the options ingest.
Recent news
Headline sentiment:bullish(+0.67 · 3 headlines)NVIDIA Corp shares rally as momentum builds into earnings
Sample Newswire · 6/3/2026
Analysts upgrade NVDA on strong growth outlook
Sample Newswire · 6/2/2026
NVIDIA Corp tops quarterly estimates, raises guidance
Sample Newswire · 6/1/2026
Sentiment is a transparent finance-word lexicon score on the headline text only — a soft signal, not a recommendation.
Quant grades
graded vs 4 Technology peers · letter = percentile rankOverall
A+60
Value
D+11
Quality
A+77
Momentum
A+75
Growth
A+97
Valuation
Trailing P/E55.00
Forward P/E38.00
Price / Book45.00
Price / Sales28.00
EV / EBITDA50.00
Dividend Yield0.0%
Quality & Growth
Return on Equity90.0%
Profit Margin50.0%
Debt / Equity12.00
Earnings Growth (yoy)60.0%
Revenue Growth (yoy)70.0%
Momentum
3-month return15.0%
6-month return35.0%
12-month return60.0%
Price vs 52w high93.0%
Analyst
Mean target$220.00
Implied upside22.2%
Consensusstrong_buy
Dividend scorecard
Yield
0.0%C-
vs market dividend payers
Safety
A+
Based on D/E 12% · margin 50%. Growth/consistency need dividend history (not in this dataset).
Peer comparison
Technology · US · top by compositeFactor scores rank this stock against others in the same market. A high score means it screens well on that dimension today — it is a starting point for research, not a signal to buy. Always confirm the fundamentals and understand the business before investing.